Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.117580 0.131099 0.144931 0.160105 0.176242 0.192855 0.211213
2024-10-20 0.099263 0.117957 0.137813 0.160340 0.185057 0.211228 0.240913
2024-10-27 0.084817 0.106811 0.130963 0.159167 0.190921 0.225312 0.265118
2024-11-03 0.074935 0.099476 0.127236 0.160469 0.198701 0.240874 0.290485
2024-11-10 0.068452 0.095263 0.126391 0.164455 0.209039 0.258959 0.318448
2024-11-17 0.060934 0.089043 0.122554 0.164402 0.214275 0.270918 0.339237
2024-11-24 0.055563 0.084933 0.120798 0.166423 0.221620 0.285069 0.362376
2024-12-01 0.050556 0.080820 0.118656 0.167650 0.227762 0.297635 0.383560
2024-12-08 0.045645 0.076403 0.115784 0.167675 0.232216 0.308039 0.402097
2024-12-15 0.041712 0.072965 0.113886 0.168682 0.237680 0.319515 0.421814
2024-12-22 0.037490 0.068776 0.110726 0.167847 0.240685 0.327905 0.437775
2024-12-29 0.035218 0.067173 0.110848 0.171108 0.248703 0.342305 0.460907
2025-01-05 0.032104 0.064250 0.109221 0.172251 0.254351 0.354236 0.481655
2025-01-12 0.028944 0.060990 0.106938 0.172386 0.258633 0.364466 0.500378
2025-01-19 0.025658 0.057235 0.103731 0.171103 0.260966 0.372210 0.516045
2025-01-26 0.023446 0.055000 0.102544 0.172438 0.266611 0.384037 0.536713
2025-02-02 0.022197 0.054249 0.103444 0.176595 0.275929 0.400484 0.563120
2025-02-09 0.019970 0.051611 0.101394 0.176532 0.279609 0.409785 0.580687
2025-02-16 0.018467 0.050104 0.100944 0.178642 0.286127 0.422668 0.602718
2025-02-23 0.016902 0.048326 0.099967 0.179923 0.291487 0.434056 0.622897
2025-03-02 0.015203 0.046115 0.098186 0.179949 0.295085 0.443152 0.640198
2025-03-09 0.013859 0.044447 0.097164 0.181001 0.300030 0.453960 0.659657
2025-03-16 0.012271 0.042095 0.094903 0.180128 0.302266 0.461220 0.674621